December’s rate cut ended yield curve inversion—read how it could boost PIMCO PDO & PTY mortgage holdings, lower funding ...
Treasury yield simulations project 3‑month bills at 1%–2% in 10 years; curves show widening risk premiums, inversion odds and ...
Discover how biased expectations theory impacts interest rates by incorporating investor preferences and risks, beyond just ...
Bull Steepening All yields fall, with short-term yields likely falling faster. Bond prices rise across the board. When the ...
A foundation of portfolio construction has wobbled in recent years, but a top strategist at BlackRock urges investors not to ...
Adaptation is recommended for 2026. By combining 2-year AA corporate bonds for yield and long-duration government bonds for ...
The yield curve, a key economic indicator that has been used to predict recessions, is renewing fears in the U.S. bond markets. The difference between the yield on the two-year and 10-year Treasury ...
It is no secret that the bond market is the most important in the world. The well-oiled market machine burns debt as a fuel. But when you look inside, you realize that it is intermingled with yield ...
No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...
A version of this article was originally published on Oct. 8, 2014. The term "interest rate" continues to strike fear into the hearts of bond investors. These fears have only intensified as the timing ...
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell at a news conference after the June 2022 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the Federal Reserve headquarters in Washington, D.C. The yield ...
The yield curve shows the rate of interest at which governments borrow money over different time periods. Typically it costs more to borrow for longer. When interest rates are higher in the short term ...