Discover how coincident indicators reflect current economic conditions, their role in analyzing business cycles, and their impact on understanding economic trends.

A forward-looking gauge of the economy fell by 0.5% in August, with the dual headwinds of a slowing labor market and increased import tariffs dragging down the Conference Board’s leading economic ...

This article was written by the Bloomberg Enterprise Investment Research Data team: Frances Shi, Kevin Kwan, Jerome Barkate and Nakul Nair. Welcome to Data Spotlight, our series showcasing insights ...

Recession risk in the US is rising, says economist David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research. Rosenberg's analysis shows 45% of recession indicators have been triggered, up from 10% in 2022. He advises ...

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GDP measures economic size; CPI and PPI gauge goods costs impacting buying power and production costs. Leading indicators like housing starts predict economic trends, lagging ones like unemployment ...

Financial markets experienced dramatic shifts on a striking Monday that left investors uneasy. An abrupt technological stock downturn set off warning signals in key financial indicators. The ...

We see that the 10s/2s has been inverted since roughly July 2022, while the 10s/3mo (historically the more accurate indicator of recessions) inverted in October. The consensus is that 2023 will ...

The Treasury yield curve is currently inverted. The M2 money supply declined in December, January, and February. Despite weathering several recessions, the S&P 500 index still produced a total return ...